ARMOUR 8-K



UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

______________

FORM 8-K

______________


CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT

TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF

THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934


Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): March 22, 2010


ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.

 (Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)


Maryland

001-33736

26-1908763

(State or Other Jurisdiction

of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)


956 Beachland Blvd., Suite 11

Vero Beach, Florida

32963

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code)


(772) 617-4340

 (Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code)


n/a

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):


[_]

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

[_]

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17CFR 240.14a-12)

[_]

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

[_]

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))





Item 7.01.

Regulation FD Disclosure.


Commencing on March 22, 2010, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. ("ARMOUR") will be making presentations to certain investors. Attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report is the form of investor presentation to be used by ARMOUR in its presentations.


The investor presentation attached to this report as Exhibit 99.1 is furnished pursuant to this Item 7.01 and shall not be deemed filed in this or any other filing of ARMOUR under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, unless expressly incorporated by specific reference in any such filing.


Item 9.01.

Financial Statements and Exhibits.  


(c) Exhibits


Exhibit No.

Description

 

 

99.1

Investor Presentation



 




SIGNATURES


Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.


Dated: March 22, 2010


ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT, INC.


By: /s/ Jeffrey J. Zimmer                           

Name: Jeffrey J. Zimmer

Title: Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Vice Chairman




 





Exhibit Index


Exhibit No.

Description

 

 

99.1

Investor Presentation


Exhibit 99.1

Exhibit 99.1



ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT, Inc.
Portfolio Update
March 15, 2010






PLEASE READ: Important Regulatory and Yield Estimate Risk Disclosures



Certain statements made in this presentation regarding ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (“ARMOUR” or the “Company“), and any other statements regarding ARMOUR’s future expectations, beliefs, goals or prospects constitute forward-looking statements made within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Any statements that are not statements of historical fact (including statements containing the words “believes,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “estimates” and similar expressions) should also be considered forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include but are not limited to statements regarding the projections for the ARMOUR business, and plans for future growth and operational improvements. A number of important factors could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those indicated by such forwardlooking statements ARMOUR assumes no obligation to update the information looking statements. in this communication, except as otherwise required by law. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof.

This material is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any securities, financial instruments, or common or privately issued stock. The statements, information and estimates contained herein are based on information that the presenter believes to be reliable as of today's date, but cannot be represented that such statements, information or estimates are complete or accurate.

Actual realized yields, durations and net durations described herein will depend on a number of factors that cannot be predicted with certainly. Estimated yields do not reflect any of the costs of operation of ARMOUR.

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ARMOUR Portfolio and Balance Sheet Highlights
and Dividend and Earnings Update (as of 3/15/10)


•  Portfolio and Balance Sheet Highlights

—  ARMOUR was 100% invested as of January 26, 2010.

—  ARMOUR has an Agency mortgage portfolio valued at $180.37 million (1).

•  Highly diversified assets in over 100 different securities (cusips).

—  Gross asset duration is currently estimated at 2.03.

—  Net balance sheet duration is currently estimated at 1.13.

—  REPO borrowings total $167.42 million.

—  Debt to equity ratio (2) = 7.79x.

—  Eurodollar Futures to replicate swaps total $61.0 million (38.1% of non‐true ARMS).

—  Cash on hand & short term principal & interest receivables: $11.57 million.

•  Dividend and Earnings Update

—  On March 5, 2010, ARMOUR declared a dividend of $0.40 per share payable in the last week of
April 2010. Approximately $0.37 is estimated Q1 2010 ‘core’ earnings and approximately $0.03 is
estimated from gain on sale.

—  The $0.40 of taxable earnings represents an annualized return on equity of 17.2% based on an
estimated 12/31/2009 book value per share of $9.32.


  (1) Based on third party pricing.

  (2) Based on estimated book value of $21,491,096 (or $9.32 per share).


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ARMOUR REIT Portfolio Information as of 3/15/2010

          (1) ARMOUR REIT Portfolio Composition

          (2) ARMOUR REIT Interest Rate Hedges Composition

          (3) ARMOUR REIT REPO Composition

          (4) Listing of ARMOUR REIT Counter‐Parties to Date






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ARMOUR REIT Agency Only Portfolio Composition



Agency Asset Class

 

Current Value

 

Percentage of

Total Portfolio

 

 

 

 

 

True ARMS (0-18 Months to Reset)

$

20,111,053

 

11.1%

Hybrids (19 Months and Longer to Reset)

$

118,124,757

 

65.5%

Seasoned 15 & 20 Year Pass-Throughs

$

17,891,274

 

9.9%

Low Loan Balance 15 Year Pass-Throughs

$

24,249,559

 

13.4%

Total

$

180,376,643

 

100.0%


March Forward Settlement Trades, Included in Information Presented Above

$

7,781,027

 

 


Agency Type

 

Current Value

 

Percentage of

Total Portfolio

 

 

 

 

 

Freddie Mac

$

78,829,578

 

43.7%

Fannie Mae

$

87,735,236

 

48.6%

Ginnie Mae

$

13,811,829

 

7.7%

Total

$

180,376,643

 

100.0%



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ARMOUR REIT Hybrid and True ARM Class Composition


Hybrid Index

 

Current Value

Percentage of Hybrid
Portfolio

 

 

 

 

1 Year CMT

$

30,059,221

25.4%

12 Month Libor

$

82,924,538

70.2%

6 Month Libor

$

2,942,515

2.5%

10 Yr CMT

$

2,198,483

1.9%

 

 

 

 

Total

$

118,124,757

100.0%

Weighted Average Months to Reset

 

57.1

 


True ARM Type

 

Current Value

Percentage of True
ARM Portfolio

 

 

 

 

MTA

$

4,704,908

23.4%

6 Month Treasury Bills

$

1,500,460

7.5%

1 Year CMT

$

3,272,295

16.3%

6 Month Libor

$

1,144,483

5.7%

12 Month Libor

$

9,101,529

45.3%

COFI

$

387,378

1.9%

 

 

 

 

Total

$

20,111,053

100.0%

Weighted Average Months to Reset

 

7.6

 



 

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ARMOUR REIT Portfolio Coupons, Yields, Duration and Market Prices



Agency Asset Class

Weighted
Average
Coupon

Estimated
Yields

Estimated
Effective
Duration

Weighted
Average Current
Market Price

 

 

 

 

 

True ARMS (0-18 Months to Reset)

4.59%

2.00%

0.31

103.45%

Hybrids (19 Months and Longer to Reset)

4.64%

3.00%

2.08

104.23%

Seasoned 15 & 20 Year Pass-Throughs

4.92%

3.50%

2.34

104.71%

Low Loan Balance 15 Year Pass-Throughs

4.82%

3.20%

2.97

105.63%

Totals

4.69%

2.96%

2.03

104.38%


Yield and Duration estimates are derived from functions available from Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Yield and Duration estimates are derived using the asset current price.

Actual realized yields, durations and net durations described herein will depend on a number of factors that cannot

be predicted with certainly. Estimated yields do not reflect any of the costs of operation of ARMOUR.

Market prices for our securities are obtained from independent third party sources.



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ARMOUR REIT Portfolio Constant Prepayment Rates (CPR)



Portfolio Prepayment Information (1)

 

 

Month

Weighted Average

Annualized Constant

Prepayment Rate

 

 

December 2009

8.6%

January 2010

12.9%

February 2010

10.0%

March 2010

20.7%

 

NOTE: ARMOUR expenses amortization p as it occurs.

 

(1) Constant Prepayment Rate (CPR) is the annualized equivalent of single monthly mortality (SMM). CPR attempts to predict the percentage of principal that will prepay over the next twelve months based on historical principal paydowns.





8



ARMOUR REIT Eurodollar Hedge Composition (used to replicate swaps)



Eurodollar Futures to
Replicate Swaps
(Maturity Dates)

 

Notional Amount

Weighted Average Rate

Duration

Longest Maturity in Months
(as of 3/15/10)

 

 

 

 

 

 

March 2012

$

21,000,000

1.186%

1.75

24

March 2013

$

21,000,000

1.809%

2.70

36

March 2014

$

19,000,000

2.439%

3.60

48

Total or Weighted Average

$

61,000,000

1.791%

2.65

35.6



Balance Sheet Duration

 

Amount

Estimated
Duration

Duration Effect on Balance Sheet

 

 

 

 

 

Agency Assets

$

180,376,643

2.03

2.03

Eurodollar Bundles

$

61,000,000

2.65

-2.65

 

 

 

 

 

Estimated Balance Sheet Duration

1.13

 

 

 

 

 

NOTE: As rates go down the value of the Eurodollar Bundles will decline. Inversely, as rates go up, the value of the Eurodollar Bundles will increase.



9



ARMOUR REIT REPO



REPO Counter‐Party

 

Principal Borrowed

Percentage of REPO Positions with ARMOUR

Weighted Average Rate

Hair Cut

Longest Maturity in Days
(as of 3/15/10)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Goldman Sachs

$

54,348,000

32.5%

0.230%

5%

14

MF Global

$

54,099,000

32.3%

0.280%

5%

66

Nomura

$

26,733,197

16.0%

0.230%

5%

11

State Street Securities

$

25,957,000

15.5%

0.300%

6%

88

Jefferies & Company

$

6,286,000

3.8%

0.400%

5%

39

Total or Weighted Average

$

167,423,197

100.0%

0.263%

5.16%

43




ARMOUR currently has eight counter-party signed Master
Repurchase Agreements, with more close to being finalized.




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www.armourreit.com

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